- After the FOMC left the fed funds target rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.50%, the three major U.S. stock indexes attained new closing highs for the year.
- The Dow recorded a record closing high, marking a persisting bullish trend since Sept. 30, 2022.
- The Federal Reserve, in its foray, clarified that the rate of inflation has reduced, potentially signaling the end of the rate-tightening cycle.
- U.S. producer prices (PPI) remained consistent in November, demonstrating a decreasing trend in inflation.
FOMC Decision and Market Impact
In a surprise move by the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC), the federal funds target rate will remain the same at 5.25%-5.50%. As a result, the three primary U.S. stock indexes have soared to new year-high levels.
The Dow reached a historic high, showcasing the enduring bull market, which has prevailed since September 30, 2022.
Fed’s Forward-Looking Stance
The Federal Reserve, while reporting this trend, noted a softening in inflation and insinuated that the current rate tightening cycle may be nearing its end. Moreover, its predictive dot plot indicates that borrowing costs may decrease in 2024.
Greg Bassuk, Chief Executive Officer at AXS Investments, shared his enthusiastic views on these recent developments, emphasizing that investors are adapting to a change in Fed sentiments, suggesting lower interest rates in the upcoming year.
Consistent Inflation Data
Recent economic data reflects that proven producer prices (PPI) stayed steady in November. This metric consistently points towards inflation slowly decreasing towards the Federal bank’s 2% target for annual growth.
Bassuk reiterated the role of these indicators, stating their consistency helped the Federal Reserve to believe in the efficiency of its measures.
Global Impact and Central Bank Decisions
Other central banks worldwide, such as the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, are also expected to share their policy decisions later this week.
European stocks ended the trading session relatively unchanged as investors were cautious ahead of the Fed decision. On the other hand, stocks in emerging markets and Asia-Pacific declined slightly, while others showed a moderate rise.
Treasury Yields and Forex
After the Fed decision, Treasury yields experienced a significant fall, with 10-year notes seeing their lowest yields since August. Additionally, the U.S. dollar lost gains against other global currencies after the central bank projected future interest rate cuts in 2024.
Finally, a crucial impact to watch in the coming days and weeks will be on the forex trading market, as these shifts in Federal Reserve policy and U.S. stock performance can significantly impact currency pair values, bond yields, and asset performance.