- The Boeing 737 MAX 9 panel blowout and subsequent incident has raised significant supply concerns in Dublin’s flourishing air finance industry.
- Aviation industry is already grappling with dynamics of post-pandemic travel boom.
- Regulatory risks have heightened due to recent safety incidents, which could affect leasing companies, airlines, and bankers’ operations.
- The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has ordered Boeing to pause on 737 MAX production until quality issues are resolved.
- The impact of the delay in production could lead to a technology gap, increased leasing rates, and potentially, higher fares for airlines.
- Boeing is confronting increasing criticism with calls for leadership changes.
Impact of Boeing 737 MAX 9 Incident on Air Finance Industry
Dublin-based lessors, bankers, and airlines are weighing the supply ramifications following Boeing 737 MAX 9’s partial grounding. This situation results from an Alaska Airlines incident in January, which has left the global air finance industry in deep contemplation.
The aviation sector, in general, has been facing challenges keeping up with the post-pandemic travel resurgence due to labour and parts shortages.
However, the recent near-miss incident, resulting in a compelling emergency landing, has brought additional regulatory risks to the fore.
Regulatory Risks and Boeing’s Production Halt
An unusual move by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) last week of ordering Boeing to desist from ramping up the 737 MAX production has raised industry concerns until its quality checks issues are resolved. The timeline for this halt remains indeterminate. However, as things get back on track, extra inspections are anticipated to curtail industrial growth prospects.
Plane Development and Production Challenges
The recent safety concern, alongside the fatal MAX accidents of 2018 and 2019, led regulators to escalate control over aircraft design and development. This increased vigilance may impact the pace of airplane production. These disconcerting episodes imply immediate challenges for airplane development and eventual production slowing down.
Implication for Airlines, Leasing Companies, and Boeing
For leasing companies holding substantial airplane orders, these impediments could yield better returns. Airlines, in contrast, could experience a gap in receiving critical new technology to cut down costs and emissions. This situation could lead to higher leasing rates, potentially resulting in escalated fares.
Post the critical outfall faced by Boeing, the Dublin event is expected to reveal the confidence level among industry giants, crucial to bolstering confidence in aircraft leasing and finance.
Many industry commentators, including analyst Richard Aboulafia, have urged Boeing’s leadership, especially CEO Dave Calhoun, to resign.
The aviation industry, known for its exclusive providers and deeply entrenched practices, rarely witnesses scathing criticism of its leadership.
Calhoun, however, has pledged that Boeing will accept faults and committed that incidents mimicking the Alaska Airlines blowout won’t recur.
In the context of forex and trading, the ongoing uncertainty around Boeing’s production delays and increased regulatory scrutiny could affect future investment and trading strategies, particularly in assets linked to the aviation industry.