U.S. Economy Adds More Jobs Than Expected, Affecting Possible Fed Rate Cut


• Favourable US job market data shows an addition of 353,000 jobs in January, outperforming economists’ prediction of 187,000 jobs.
• This promising data might lead to the Federal Reserve postponing the planned reduction of interest rates.
• The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ data shows an increase from the revised December data of 333,000.
• The job market for professional and business services, health care, and retail continued to thrive, despite setbacks in mining, quarrying, and oil, and gas extraction.
• The announcement by Fed officials regarding a continued watch for signs of job demand moderation signals a possible delay in interest rate cuts.

Impressive Job Growth

The American economy saw a significant increase of 353,000 jobs in January, substantially exceeding forecasts. This paints a picture of persistent vigor in the job market, potentially swaying the Federal Reserve to forego immediate reductions in interest rates.

January Job Statistics

In the world’s leading economy, job growth last month was 353,000, marking an increase from December’s upwardly revised total of 333,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists that predicted a more modest growth of 187,000 jobs saw their expectations surpassed.

The uptick in December’s total, a sharp increase from the initial 216,000, can be attributed to the BLS’s annual benchmarking process and seasonal adjustments, announced the Bureau in a statement.

Sector-wise Job Gains

Growth in employment in sectors like professional and business services, health care, and retail counterbalanced reductions in employment in fields such as mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction.

The January unemployment rate was steady at 3.7%. However, wages rose 0.6% month-on-month, faster than December’s 0.4% and outpacing expectations of 0.3%.

Fed’s Reaction and Market Response

Highlighting the thriving jobs report, ING analysts stated, “The blowout January jobs report – payrolls surging, wages jumping, unemployment falling – implies the [Fed] will not rush to slash rates.”

Considering these positive figures, the Federal Reserve may be influenced to reconsider interest rate cuts in the near future. Earlier this week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell downplayed the anticipation of a spring rate reduction, stating it was not his “base case”.

The promising job market data lifted stocks into the green, with the US dollar climbing against a basket of other currencies. Furthermore, the rate-sensitive 2-year US Treasury yield and the benchmark 10-year yield, which typically move inversely to prices, also rose.

In summary, this impressive job growth in the US could have potential repercussions on Forex or trading, particularly concerning assets tied to the strength of the US market.

PIP Penguin